JAL Group 2010 New Year Vacation Period Traffic Forecast
Japan Airlines (JAL) has forecast a total of 419,407 international passenger reservations during the Japanese New Year vacation period from December 25, 2009 to January 5, 2010.
Due to significant reductions in capacity, seat load factors are expected to generally improve with Hawaii, transpacific, Oceania, Guam and Korea routes reaching more than 90%. Against the same period last year, JAL forecasts an overall improvement of 9.1 percentage points in load factor as a result of the predicted 11.6% decline in the number of international passenger reservations on JAL Group airlines alongside an estimated 20.9% decrease in capacity measured in available seat kilometers.
The JAL Group will operate 76 additional flights, both scheduled and charter, to such destinations as Guam, Hawaii, Siem Reap and Bali.
On domestic routes, JAL has forecast that seat supply will be 2.3% lower than the same period in the previous year and expects the total number of domestic passenger bookings to be 1,321,173 reservations, 6.7% down on last year. The projected load factor on domestic Japan flights during this festive period is 61.8%.
During this period, JAL Group plans to operate an additional 119 domestic flights to meet demand on popular routes in Japan, such as Tokyo – Miyazaki, and Tokyo – Kagoshima.
| Forecast JAL Group International Reservations (Japan departures) Dec 25, 2009 – Jan 5, 2010 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAL/JAZ Routes | Available Seat % Change on 2008 | Passenger Total | % Pax Change on 2008 | Seat load factor % 2009 |
| Hawaii | 95.0 | 58,748 | 93.8 | 91.0 |
| Transpacific | 80.6 | 34,868 | 85.5 | 96.7 |
| Europe | 72.4 | 31,662 | 82.1 | 83.2 |
| S.E.Asia | 82.8 | 112,653 | 92.7 | 88.2 |
| Oceania | 68.8 | 12,148 | 84.0 | 93.0 |
| Guam/Saipan | 99.8 | 20,650 | 98.0 | 90.8 |
| Korea | 72.8 | 54,385 | 75.9 | 93.1 |
| China | 71.9 | 60,860 | 96.3 | 69.7 |
| Taiwan | 73.3 | 33,433 | 82.5 | 89.1 |
| Total | 79.1 | 419,407 | 88.4 | 86.4 |
| Forecast JAL Group Domestic Reservations Dec 25, 2009 – Jan 5, 2010 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAL & Subsidairies | Available Seat % Change on 2008 | Passenger Total | % Pax Change on 2008 | Seat load factor % 2009 |
| JAL/JEX | 97.8 | 1187,841 | 94.3 | 63.3 |
| JTA | 95.4 | 83,004 | 83.5 | 63.6 |
| RAC | 90.4 | 9,165 | 94.5 | 63.2 |
| JAC | 99.5 | 38,778 | 87.8 | 37.1 |
| HAC | 91.2 | 2,385 | 95.4 | 26.5 |
| Total | 97.7 | 1321,173 | 93.3 | 61.8 |
JEX=JAL Express; JTA=Japan Transocean Air; RAC=Ryukyu Air Commuter; JAC=Japan Air Commuter; HAC=Hokkaido Air System; JAZ=JALways
ASK = Available Seat Kilometers
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